We gave him a newspaper article from the tabloid. He read
it and drew an obvious conclusion. We then provided the same
story from a NY Times, Washington Post, or WSJ type
newspaper. Much longer article with those underlying details
created an obvious 180 degrees different conclusion. That is
the point. The 'leave it on' theory does not provide details
and even contains contrarian facts. IOW if it was accurate,
then we must also recommend leaving on the TV, radio,
incandescent light bulbs, and CRT.
Why do they not recommend leaving a CRT on? After all,
power up inside a CRT means much higher voltage changes, and
many times higher temperature changes. Clearly if anything
was more susceptible to power on stress, it is the CRT. And
yet the same conclusion that says 'leave a computer on' also
says power off the CRT?
Reasons for this contradiction would be found in missing
details. For example some possible missing details: a
location with 2000 computers use newer Dell computers and not
any clones? Clones, both by example and for reasons
technical, have a greater failure rate. Is the building AC
power delivered properly earthed? How utilities enter a
building also will significantly affect hardware life
expectancy. So the 2000 'always left on' computers were also
in a newer steel and concrete building with properly earthed
utilities? Even the building can affect hardware life
expectancy. How much does the new equipment sleep? Then it
is really power cycling. Extending hardware life expectancy
by doing frequent power reductions and yet *assumed* to be
always on. These missing details are damning to the
observation.
Once we looked at actual failure rates considering other
variables such as quality of manufacturer, age of equipment,
how building was constructed, what actually failed, energy
star actions, and human biases, then with all things being
equal, we discovered no measurable difference but lots of
consumed electricity. The repair people just felt they were
spending less time repairing when systems were left on. They
had just observed without numbers and without the essential
details - and just knew.
Why did they not recommend leaving powered TVs, radios,
light bulbs, and the CRT? Clearly if an observation alone is
sufficient, then leaving powered all other electronics
including that CRT must be recommended. Why the
contradiction? Once underlying details were examined, such as
how things fail and what really does fail, then those 'leave
it on' observations fall apart mostly as examples of human
bias and problems created by not understanding underlying
concepts.
He made a 180 degree different conclusion once he read
details in that non-tabloid newspaper. And that is the
point. We have seen for decades that 'leaving it on' does not
preserve life expectancy once we consider the details. We see
obtain same in manufacturer data sheets. And yet, on a simple
observation without the always necessary details, one can
contradict decades of experience and published technical
numbers? Again the damning point. If leaving computers
'always powered' extends their life expectancy, then it must
also do same for TVs, radios, light bulbs, and CRTs. Why do
they not recommend leaving powered a CRT that would suffer (if
it exists) even greater from 'power on stress'? This last
sentence alone is damning. And again, the answer is found in
missing details.
Observations without both underlying concepts, numbers, and
without essential details from each example make that
observation nothing more than speculation. The concept of
'leave it on' is not justified, repeatedly, once we have those
details. The concept of 'leave it on' flies contrary to
decades of technical facts. What is missing in his example?
The numbers - important details. Provided was only a personal
observation without the always necessary facts and numbers -
the details.
Provided in a previous post were details about UPSes. IOW
those details demonstrate that plug-in UPSes (and filters, et
al) do nothing for hardware life expectancy ... if the
hardware is properly constructed to meet industry standards.
Again, many also claim improved life expectancy from a UPS
using the same observation only technique. Using observation
alone, they obtain junk science conclusions.
Without those essential and missing details, they obtained a
180 degree different conclusion. Observations alone are never
sufficient for facts. Never. Observations alone are
sufficient for speculation. Observations without "numbers and
concepts" create junk science conclusions.
Thomas G. Marshall said:
"junk science" as you put it also makes a rash assumption that
numbers by themselves mean something. Numbers and facts in
general are *only as good* as their interpretation.
*AND* numbers and concepts do not come close to being as important
as actual observations are. Steve has observed over time many
machines that on/off machines fair much worse than the 24/7
machines do.
I still don't see an answer from you resolving this.
...[rip]...