As I noted some time ago, the scanner "fad" has peaked about 12-18
months ago. In other words, most who wanted to get a scanner have
already done so and sales are now dropping rapidly.
I mean, Nikon hasn't released a new scanner for a couple of years now
either. And even back then there was nothing new, just repackaged old
scanners really (same resolution, same bit-depth, etc).
Furthermore, this "let's digitize our films" fad was also responded to
by various businesses which offered this as a service. Most people
were quite happy to let a service do this instead of doing it
themselves. So it was a fairly limited specialty market to start with.
Besides, one of the reasons people want to digitize their analog film
in the first place is because they have already gone digital by
switching to digicams. Pretty soon it's going to be just as hard to
find film as is to find an LP these days, which is a niche market.
Therefore, film scanners are going to get as rare as record players.
As one who has been scanning film since around
1998, I wouldn't exactly refer to it as a "fad."
I do agree that the latest crop of DSLRs have pretty
much finished off 35mm film. My Nikons don't get
out much any more. My Canon 10D gets 90% of
the quality with 10% of the effort.
But once you're up to MF film or beyond -- even the
smallest MF formats -- film scanning holds its own,
and continues to be cost-effective compared to
the alternatives (eg., digital backs for MF.)
I'm afraid you are correct, however -- we won't be
seeing a lot of new film scanners introduced from
here on out. I've been predicting that for a couple
of years now.
IMO, the two significant film scanners introduced
in the last two years were the Nikon LS-9000 and
the Minolta 5400. Though I would have preferred
to believe that the 9000 was only an "incremental"
improvement over the 8000, it seems to be a
significant increment. These two machines are
demonstrably sharper than their peers.
It's a shame, 'cuz I still enjoy working with film.
Scanned 4x5 kicks butt, and no affordable
digital camera can touch it.
rafe b
www.terrapinphoto.com