Buy 32bit computer or wait for 64bit?

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zalzon

Caught in a viscious cycle of indecision yet again.

Should I wait for the price of this 64 bit computer to fall... or
shall I get a 32 bit. On one hand I need to upgrade my machine, on
the other i don't want to get something that will be obsolete in a
year. What should I do...? I can't afford to upgrade repeatedly
like you guys who have an endless supply of money.


--------

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20030923/tc_nm/tech_amd_athlon_dc_1

AMD (NYSE:AMD - news) unveiled four Athlon 64 processors targeted at
desktop and notebook computers ranging from $417 to $733.
 
Well... looking at the various benchmakrs that have popped up around the
web: (a) compared to the Athlon the new Athlon64 is 12% faster on
average in 32bit apps, (b) it seems to perform even better in games, (c)
the usefulness of 64-bits all depends on the software.

So... for the 64-bit stuff, you'll have to wait till a 64-bit Windows
comes out, and then for the 64-bit versions of your favourite apps. (but
you would still get the 12% increase of course compared to the normal
Athlon). When is 64-bit Windows out? Early next year? When is your
favourite app out in 64-bit? In a year's time, maybe longer? 6 months if
it's a graphics/video app?

On the other hand, AMD said that the Athlon 3200+ is the last one -
there's no way to go from there. How long will the Athlon 3200+ be
available?

There's also the fact that the new Athlon64 and motherboards will be
very expensive at first.

And that the new Athlon64 out now is one with 940 pins, while 939 pins
will be the standard from a few months onward. 940 pins Athlon64's will
only be around for a year or so!!

If I were you, I'd wait 3 - 6 months. If you can't wait, get a cheap
motherboard (preferably nForce2 based, from $60 or so) and a cheap
Athlon 1700+ or so ($32). The 1700+ is a great overclocker too. Make
sure you get DDR 400 memory tho... you'll appreciate this when you get
the Athlon64 motherboard.

The money you spend now you may safe later when prices come down. By
that time there'll be more choice in motherboards too, and the 939 pin
CPU will be out.

I'm going this route anyways. Bought my system 3 months ago. I'll
replace the 1700+ with a 3200+ in a year or so, and the year after that
I'll go for the Athlon64 which will be very mainstream by then.

I just think it's a waste of money to buy cutting-edge stuff. And the
fact that you're being guinea-pig too with new technology...
 
zalzon said:
Caught in a viscious cycle of indecision yet again.

Should I wait for the price of this 64 bit computer to fall... or
shall I get a 32 bit.

Do you plan on using apps that are 64 bit? What OS are you going to use? I'd
skip the 64 bit for now as 32bit apps are going to be around for quite a
while.
 
Stacey said:
Do you plan on using apps that are 64 bit? What OS are you going to use? I'd
skip the 64 bit for now as 32bit apps are going to be around for quite a
while.

I would agree with this, it took about 3 years for everything to switch
from 16 to 32 bit and the inertia now is heavier so it will probably take
even longer.

Having said that If you want major wedges of RAM it would be worth going
64bit. I love the idea of 6-10GB of RAM or more, leave the HD for long term
storage and start running everything including the OS from RAM. now that
will really show improvements in speed :-))))

Andy
 
Having said that If you want major wedges of RAM it would be worth going
64bit. I love the idea of 6-10GB of RAM or more, leave the HD for long
term storage and start running everything including the OS from RAM. now
that will really show improvements in speed :-))))

Yep it sure would and since I run linux, it's already ready for 64 bit
hardware.
 
its sort of a ploy to keep us all upgrading and upgrading .. ad
infinitum.

No sooner will we have 100GB of ram then a 1 terabyte operating system
will be released. Word processors will grow to 5 terabytes no less
and require what in today's terms are supercomputers to run.

99% of people will just be using Word or Open Office for typing a
letter or a report. But they will have a million features built in
which will take a lifetime to discover. People will have to do a PhD
just to figure out all the features.
 
| its sort of a ploy to keep us all upgrading and upgrading .. ad
| infinitum.
|
| No sooner will we have 100GB of ram then a 1 terabyte operating system
| will be released. Word processors will grow to 5 terabytes no less
| and require what in today's terms are supercomputers to run.
|
| 99% of people will just be using Word or Open Office for typing a
| letter or a report. But they will have a million features built in
| which will take a lifetime to discover. People will have to do a PhD
| just to figure out all the features.

I agree! Most people never use 100% of the computer they have now.

It's a lot like brains... ;-)

Larc



§§§ - Please raise temperature of mail to reply by e-mail - §§§
 
zalzon said:
its sort of a ploy to keep us all upgrading and upgrading .. ad
infinitum.

No sooner will we have 100GB of ram then a 1 terabyte operating system
will be released. Word processors will grow to 5 terabytes no less
and require what in today's terms are supercomputers to run.

99% of people will just be using Word or Open Office for typing a
letter or a report. But they will have a million features built in
which will take a lifetime to discover. People will have to do a PhD
just to figure out all the features.

The Games could be good though :-)

Andy
 
It's the Ahlon64 FX-51 that has the 940 pins. Next year a 939 pin
version will appear, and the 940 pin version will be discontinued. The
extra pin is used for ECC RAM - that is, the 940 pin Athlon64 FX-51
NEEDS ECC DDR memory!

On this page there's a nice summation of relative performance of the
Athlon64 compared to the Athlon XP, the Athlon64 compared to P4, and the
Athlon64 FX-51 compared to the P4 EE:

http://www.tweakers.net/nieuws/28882


Averages:

Athlon 64 3200+ Athlon 64 3200+ Athlon64 FX-51
vs Athlon XP 3200+ vs P4 3,2GHz vs P4 EE 3,2GHz

Game 8,3% 6,0% 9,2%
Workstation 12,6% -10,5% -5,7%

Overall 14,7% 3,5% 3,7%


Conclusion:

Athlon64 is master in games. The P4 still rules for serious work. When
running (AMD optimized) 64-bit apps the P4 can't compete with the
Athlon64 tho.
 
Caught in a viscious cycle of indecision yet again.

Should I wait for the price of this 64 bit computer to fall... or
shall I get a 32 bit. On one hand I need to upgrade my machine, on
the other i don't want to get something that will be obsolete in a
year. What should I do...? I can't afford to upgrade repeatedly
like you guys who have an endless supply of money.


--------

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20030923/tc_nm/tech_amd_athlon_dc_1

AMD (NYSE:AMD - news) unveiled four Athlon 64 processors targeted at
desktop and notebook computers ranging from $417 to $733.

This is an easy question to answer.
If you can't afford regular upgrades, you're buying too expensive
stuff. Consider cheaper equipment. That's my advice. Any $1500-$3000
'longterm' 'investment' is not a good idea.
Like why are you considering a $400 class cpu in the first place?

You get a decent AthlonXP and mobo for around $100.

Not enough muscle? Let me assure you that buying very expensive stuff,
less frequent, is not a solution to that.


ancra
 
Do you plan on using apps that are 64 bit? What OS are you going to use? I'd
skip the 64 bit for now as 32bit apps are going to be around for quite a
while.

I believe, WinXP64 will offer Win32 apps 4GB process space. That's
double of todays 2GB. Personally, I'd like that very much as a stopgap
solution, while I wait for my workapp to be ported to native 64-bit.

Aside from that, the A64's are damn fast 32-bit cpu's. The P4 still
has an edge on mediaencoding, thanks to it's clock, and in a few
cases, at least in benchmarks, thanks to HT. But A64's support of SSE2
makes up for some of the difference and it's just as fast on '387 FP
and conditional computing as the old AthlonXP. Faster even, thanks to
better memory handling. It also looks great as a gaming cpu. Old
benchmarks bottlenecks in the graphics pipeline (200fps) and doesn't
do much for it, but check out benchmarks based on new games.
One website reported more than 50% advantage over 3.2GHz P4.

My view is that this is the old "are you an early adopter or not"
situation. I think I'd rather not be. My game is cheaper, more often.
And there's a number of small issues:
nForce3 doesn't seem to work correctly. VIA K8T800 seems ok though.
Current version of Athlon64FX needs ECC DDR400, which hardly even
exists. Pretty typical of new tech.
I actually have a real need, but I'll still wait just a little while
longer...

Bottom line, IMO, is that there certainly aren't many reasons to spend
the same or more money on 32-bit equipment.


ancra
 
It's the Ahlon64 FX-51 that has the 940 pins. Next year a 939 pin
version will appear, and the 940 pin version will be discontinued. The
extra pin is used for ECC RAM - that is, the 940 pin Athlon64 FX-51
NEEDS ECC DDR memory!

Exactly! This is a major drag. Either we need cheaper (and available)
ECC 400DDR, or we buy the cheaper/slower A64, or we wait, or we're
very rich.
On this page there's a nice summation of relative performance of the
Athlon64 compared to the Athlon XP, the Athlon64 compared to P4, and the
Athlon64 FX-51 compared to the P4 EE:

http://www.tweakers.net/nieuws/28882


Averages:

Athlon 64 3200+ Athlon 64 3200+ Athlon64 FX-51
vs Athlon XP 3200+ vs P4 3,2GHz vs P4 EE 3,2GHz

Game 8,3% 6,0% 9,2%
Workstation 12,6% -10,5% -5,7%

Overall 14,7% 3,5% 3,7%


Conclusion:

Athlon64 is master in games.
The P4 still rules for serious work.

Well. No. - And there's no "still" about it either. - And this may be
a very serious misunderstanding. Which should not be nurtured in an
assuming and ignorant manner. Particularly not when choosing a system
for serious workstation use.

- Carefully check the benchmarks that are relevant for your
applications!

The P4 has an edge (significant?) on mediaencoding & mainstream
imageediting. Period.
If you're into media, the P4 is a nice option. If you're doing serious
conditional and numerical computing, the P4 is NOT an option! It is a
mistake. It's a damn dog! Even lowend AthlonXPs sometimes beats Intels
3.2GHz flagship.

Just look at some of the benchmarks in detail:

ScienceMark Cypher AES Athlon64 advantage on 3.2GHz P4 66,0%
AthlonFX advantage on P4EE 82,4%
(this is serious stuff, so it can't be SSE2 optimized)
(AthlonXP3200 advantage on 3.2GHzP4 is basically of the same order.)
(This is also the kind of advantage the Athlon has a lot of the time,
when you're using a non-P4-optimized app. Food for thought, eh?)

Plasma (P4-optimized) Athlon64 advantage on 3.2GHz P4 15,7%
AthlonFX advantage on P4EE 33.0%

What this website has made, is a sort of average on a large number of
benchmarks, with no thought on how they are weighted.
For instance, it includes three Kribi benchmarks, which is just
counting the same P4 benchmark tree times.
There's other multiple counts, like four P4-optimized 3DS benchmarks.

Just the simple expedient of reducing these multiple counts to one,
results in average advantage of the AthlonFX over the P4EE of 7.3%
and an advantage of the Athlon64 over the 3.2GHzP4 of 1.9%
....on "Workstation".

So paraphrasing:

"AMD still rules for serious work" :-)

I'm not claiming this is a good way of comparing things. On the
contrary, I'm pointing out the big flaws in reducing a comparision
like this. You can proove anything you want. And this website HAS
CHOSEN the benchmarks from hundreds on the web.
....And why is not the AthlonFX compared to the 3.2GHz and the Athlon64
compared to the 2.8GHz?
The P4EE is a very bad cpu anyway. At $900 it's probably still sold at
loss for Intel, and the only things it runs faster than the 3.2GHz are
some benchmarks (which of course is exactly the game intended) but why
is the way this website compares, the right way? No absolute figures,
no global comparisions between A-XP, A-FX, A-64 and P4's?
Frankly, I think it stinks!

So I don't agree. This is not "a nice summation of relative
performance".
When
running (AMD optimized) 64-bit apps the P4 can't compete with the
Athlon64 tho.

That remains to be seen. I think the P4 will continue to hold its own
on mediaencoding, until data becomes larger than 2GB. The reason is
simply the high clockrates.


ancra
 
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